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2-Plants: Forecasts on GE crop acreages in the U.S. and Brazil



                                  PART I
-------------------------------- GENET-news -------------------------------

TITLE:  Crop Production--Acreage--Supplement
        Biotechnology Varieties
SOURCE: U.S Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics
        Service
        http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports/nassr/field/pcp-bba/
        acrg0604.txt
DATE:   30 Jun 2004

------------------- archive: http://www.genet-info.org/ -------------------




Crop Production--Acreage--Supplement
Biotechnology Varieties

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts the June
Agricultural Survey in all States each year.  Randomly selected farmers
across the United States were asked if they planted corn, soybeans, or
upland cotton seed that, through biotechnology, is resistant to
herbicides, insects, or both.  The States published individually in the
following tables represent 81 percent of all corn planted acres, 89
percent of all soybean planted acres, and 81 percent of all upland cotton
planted acres.

Conventionally bred herbicide resistant varieties were excluded.  Insect
resistant varieties include only those containing bacillus
thuringiensis(Bt).  These Bt varieties include those that contain more
than one gene that can resist different types of insects.  Stacked gene
varieties only include those containing biotech traits for both herbicide
and insect resistance.

The acreage estimates are subject to sampling variability because all
operations planting biotech varieties are not included in the sample.
The variability for the 48 corn States, as measured by the relative
standard error at the U.S. level, is approximately 1.0 percent for all
biotech varieties, 1.4 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties,
2.3 percent for herbicide resistant only varieties, and 3.4 percent for
stacked gene varieties.  This means that chances are approximately 95 out
of 100 that survey estimates will be within plus or minus 2.0 percent for
all biotech varieties, 2.8 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only
varieties, 4.6 percent for herbicide resistant varieties, and 6.8 percent
for stacked gene varieties.  Variability for the 31 soybean States is
approximately 0.4 percent for herbicide resistant varieties.  Variability
for the 17 upland cotton States is approximately 2.0 percent for all
biotech varieties, 4.9 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties,
3.0 percent for herbicide resistant only varieties, and 3.3 percent for
stacked gene varieties.



                   Corn: Biotechnology Varieties by State and
              United States, Percent of All Corn Planted, 2003-2004
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      Insect Resistant (Bt)      :        Herbicide Resistant
   State  :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      2003      :      2004      :      2003       :      2004
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :                               Percent
          :
IL        :       23               26                4                 5
IN        :        8               11                7                 8
IA        :       33               36                8                10
KS        :       25               25               17                24
MI        :       18               15               14                14
MN        :       31               35               15                17
MO        :       32               32                9                13
NE        :       36               41               11                13
OH        :        6                8                3                 4
SD        :       34               28               24                30
WI        :       21               22                9                14
          :
Oth Sts 1/:       17               19               17                21
          :
US        :       25               27               11                13
          :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :     Stacked Gene Varieties      :       All Biotech Varieties
          :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      2003      :      2004      :      2003       :      2004
          :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :                               Percent
          :
IL        :        1                2               28                33
IN        :        1                2               16                21
IA        :        4                8               45                54
KS        :        5                5               47                54
MI        :        3                4               35                33
MN        :        7               11               53                63
MO        :        1                4               42                49
NE        :        5                6               52                60
OH        :        *                1                9                13
SD        :       17               21               75                79
WI        :        2                2               32                38
          :
Oth Sts 1/:        2                6               36                46
          :
US        :        4                5               40                45
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
*  Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent.
1/ Other States includes all other States in the corn estimating program.




               Upland Cotton: Biotechnology Varieties by State and
           United States, Percent of Upland Cotton Planted, 2003-2004
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      Insect Resistant (Bt)      :        Herbicide Resistant
   State  :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      2003      :      2004      :      2003       :      2004
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :                               Percent
          :
AR        :       24               34               25                15
CA        :        9                6               27                39
GA        :       14               13               32                23
LA        :       30               26               15                 7
MS        :       15               16               16                23
NC        :       16               18               29                27
TX        :        8               10               39                40
          :
Oth Sts 1/:       18               22               32                24
          :
US        :       14               16               32                30
          :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :     Stacked Gene Varieties      :       All Biotech Varieties
          :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      2003      :      2004      :      2003       :      2004
          :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :                               Percent
          :
AR        :       46               45               95                94
CA        :        3                7               39                52
GA        :       47               58               93                94
LA        :       46               60               91                93
MS        :       61               58               92                97
NC        :       48               46               93                91
TX        :        6                8               53                58
          :
Oth Sts 1/:       38               45               88                91
          :
US        :       27               30               73                76
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
1/ Other States includes all other States in the upland cotton estimating
    program.




                 Soybeans: Biotechnology Varieties by State and
            United States, Percent of All Soybeans Planted, 2003-2004
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :    Herbicide Resistant Only     :       All Biotech Varieties
   State  :--------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :      2003      :      2004      :      2003       :      2004
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
          :                               Percent
          :
AR        :       84               92               84                92
IL        :       77               81               77                81
IN        :       88               87               88                87
IA        :       84               89               84                89
KS        :       87               87               87                87
MI        :       73               75               73                75
MN        :       79               82               79                82
MS        :       89               93               89                93
MO        :       83               87               83                87
NE        :       86               92               86                92
ND        :       74               82               74                82
OH        :       74               76               74                76
SD        :       91               95               91                95
WI        :       84               82               84                82
          :
Oth Sts 1/:       76               82               76                82
          :
US        :       81               85               81                85
-------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------
1/ Other States includes all other States in the soybean estimating program.


                                  PART II
-------------------------------- GENET-news -------------------------------

TITLE:  Area planted with GM soybeans could double in Brazil in 2004-05
SOURCE: OsterDowJones, posted by Seed Quest News
        http://www.seedquest.com/News/releases/2004/july/9357.htm
DATE:   21 Jul 2004

------------------- archive: http://www.genet-info.org/ -------------------


Area planted with GM soybeans could double in Brazil in 2004-05

Planted area of genetically modified soybeans in Brazil could double next
season, despite uncertainty over its legality, the seed industry
estimates. According to calculations by the Brazilian Seed Producers
Association, or Abrasem, farmers could plant 6.4 million hectares of GMO
beans, or around 30% of the crop. Last year, the seed industry estimated
GMOs spread across three million hectares in the first year their use was
allowed. A bill to permanently regulate GMO crops in Brazil is stuck in
Congress and it is uncertain whether the government will issue another
temporary decree to legalize them next year. "Planting is prohibited (as
it stands for next year), but farmers will plant GMO soybeans, with or
without a special decree," said Ywao Miyamoto, Abrasem's president.
Abrasem is basing its figures on demand for official conventional seeds
this season. Brazil is the world's No. 2 soybean producer and the only
exporter to ban the use of transgenic technology. The Agriculture
Ministry estimated GMO soybean area was 2.78 million hectares in 2003-04,
or 13.2% of the crop.




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